Socio-Economic Model

Socio-economic modelling within GLOWA Jordan River focuses on climate-related impacts on (1) agriculture - as the sector with the significantly highest share in water consumption - and (2) the related development of farming systems and agricultural enterprises. Substantial differences in the social and economic context of farmers and policy makers in the riparian countries induced the national scientists to develop different types of models in order to reflect the expectable behaviour of decision makers. The results are subject to comparative analyses of impact from climate change and policy options.

Applied types of models:

Track 1: Agriculture as an economic sector modelling of impacts on agricultural production activities.

  • Israel: Production function model on 45 crops in 21 provinces (max{net revenues})
  • Jordan: (a) Static linear programming model on 31 crops in 3 irrigation regions (max{gross margin}), (b) MOTAD-model based on the results of the static LP (min{total absolute deviation})


Track 2: Farming enterprises and family farms (farming systems)

  • Israel: Ricardian model (Mendelsohn Nordhaus and Shaw 1994) on representative farming enterprises in Israel (regression model, net farm revenues = f(temperature, water, cropping system)
  • Jordan: Dynamic linear programming models on the 4 major classes of farming systems in the 3 irrigation perimeters of the Jordan Valley Authority (max{family income})
  • Palestine: Dynamic linear programming models on the 4 major classes of farming systems in Wadi Faria’a (max{family income})

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Design by noname designs.